Am I Dead?
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68% Buried Clive Davis. He's Fine.

Week of 3/16/2026

623 players, 6,230 guesses, and one number that anchors the week: 32%. That's all Portrait of Clive DavisClive Davis got — 68% of players called the 1960s–2010s music executive deceased. He's alive. Hardest miss of the week by a margin, and it landed on a 515-player sample, so there's no hiding behind a small n.

The wager picture was interesting independent of any single celebrity. 3x bets made up 31% of all wagers and hit 72% accuracy, well clear of 1x play at 64%. The bold-and-right rate was 34% — meaning roughly a third of all 3x guesses were both confident and correct. Eighteen perfect rounds out of 623 players. Top score hit 3,350.

By the Numbers

Total guesses
6,230
Average accuracy
66%
Hardest celebrity
Portrait of Clive DavisClive Davis (32%)
Easiest celebrity
Portrait of John LennonJohn Lennon (93%)
Biggest upset
Portrait of Clive DavisClive Davis
Players this week
623
Perfect rounds
18
Wager mix
64% · 2× 5% · 3× 31%

What stood out

Portrait of Aaron SwartzAaron Swartz split 515 players exactly down the middle — 50% alive, 50% deceased. He's deceased, so half the field landed right, but a 50/50 split on that sample size is a genuine coin flip. Portrait of George MichaelGeorge Michael was close behind at 53% accuracy, with 47% of players calling him alive. He's deceased.

Portrait of Aaron SwartzHow 515 players guessed Aaron Swartz
Alive
50%
Dead
50%

Portrait of Billie Jean KingBillie Jean King was the week's quietest trap on a large sample: 61% of players called her deceased on 515 guesses. She's alive. 39% accuracy. Portrait of Jack NicklausJack Nicklaus ran into the same wall — 67% dead calls, also alive, 33% correct.

On the easy end, Portrait of John LennonJohn Lennon ran at 93% on 515 guesses. The reliable gimme. Portrait of Mick JaggerMick Jagger, Portrait of Adam SandlerAdam Sandler, and Portrait of Tom CruiseTom Cruise all cleared 100% on smaller samples — no misses at all.

Portrait of Clive Davis
business
Clive Davis
1960s-2010s · American

He's been credited with launching the careers of over 100 artists and has won five Grammy Awards as a producer, despite being partially deaf in one ear.

32% accuracy on 515 guesses. Portrait of Clive DavisClive Davis was the hardest celebrity of the week and it wasn't close. The business category from the 1960s–2010s tends to run hard, and this one delivered. What's notable is the wager breakdown: a bold-wagering week means a meaningful chunk of those 68% wrong answers came attached to 3x multipliers. Players who went confident in the wrong direction here paid for it. The field's overall 66% accuracy looks reasonable until you see this sitting underneath it.

Honorable mentions

  • Portrait of Toby KeithToby Keith at 30% accuracy — 70% of players called the 1990s–2020s musician alive. He's deceased. Second-hardest miss, small sample.
  • Portrait of Brittany MurphyBrittany Murphy at 40% — 60% called her alive. She's deceased. The 1990s–2000s actor ran on 15 players, but the direction was wrong.
  • Portrait of Dionne WarwickDionne Warwick at 39% on 18 guesses — 61% called her deceased. She's alive. The 1960s–1970s musician keeps catching people.
  • Portrait of Joni MitchellJoni Mitchell at 56% — the field nearly split on her too. Alive, and barely more than half got it right.