4,864 players, 48,640 guesses, and one result that swallowed the week whole.
Shannen Doherty posted 21% accuracy — the worst on the board by a wide margin and the kind of number that drags down the overall average single-handedly. The field finished at 68%, which looks respectable until you account for how many points that one celebrity quietly erased.
Wager behavior was interesting. 33% of all bets went 3x, and players who went bold hit 76% accuracy against 64% on 1x bets. The bold-and-right rate was 37% — lower than the raw accuracy gap suggests it should be. That means a meaningful chunk of 3x bets landed on wrong answers. Shannen Doherty likely explains some of that. 111 perfect rounds out of 4,864 players; 1,501 bonus exact-year hits.
By the Numbers
- Total guesses
- 48,640
- Average accuracy
- 68%
- Hardest celebrity
Shannen Doherty (21%)- Easiest celebrity
Freddie Mercury (98%)- Biggest upset
Shannen Doherty - Players this week
- 4,864
- Perfect rounds
- 111
- Wager mix
- 1× 62% · 2× 5% · 3× 33%
What stood out
Sinead O'Connor landed at exactly 50/50 — 807 players, split down the middle. She's deceased. That's a coin flip on a solid sample, and the closest call of the week.
Nolan Ryan was one point off: 51% called him alive, 49% called him deceased. He's alive — barely a majority got there.
How 807 players guessed Sinead O'Connor
Eric Dane was the quieter miss of the week: 74% of players called him alive. He's deceased. 26% accuracy on 785 guesses. Not as dramatic as the featured result below, but a clean upset.
Sandy Koufax went the other direction — 73% of players called him deceased, he's alive, 27% accuracy.
How 807 players guessed Shannen DohertyFeatured: Shannen Doherty

She was fired from Beverly Hills 90210 partly because she showed up late to work after partying, including missing a Christmas episode taping.
79% of players called
Shannen Doherty alive. She's deceased. That's 21% accuracy on 807 guesses — the hardest miss of the week and the biggest upset on the board. The 1990s–2000s actor ran on one of the larger sample sizes of the week, so this isn't noise. Players across wager tiers got it wrong. The confident and the cautious landed in the same place.
Honorable mentions
Diane Keaton at 41% — 59% of players called her alive. She's deceased. A quiet trap that the data buries under the bigger headlines.
James Earl Jones at 39% accuracy — 61% of players called him alive. He's deceased.
Garry Kasparov at 39% — 61% called him deceased. He's alive. The field underestimated the 1980s–2000s chess figure.
Freddie Mercury at 98% — the gimme of the week, as reliable as ever.