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Half the Field Bet Bold. Then Julie Newmar Happened.

Week of 6/15/2026

1,957 players, 19,570 guesses, and a wager column that committed: 50% of all bets went 3x, with 1x falling to 44%. Players who went bold hit 79% on those wagers — a solid number. The bold-and-right rate of 54% held up fine in aggregate. Then one actor from the 1960s–1970s quietly wrecked a large portion of those confident bets.

By the Numbers

Total guesses
19,570
Average accuracy
74%
Hardest celebrity
Portrait of Julie NewmarJulie Newmar (6%)
Easiest celebrity
Portrait of Elvis PresleyElvis Presley (99%)
Biggest upset
Portrait of Julie NewmarJulie Newmar
Players this week
1,957
Perfect rounds
164
Wager mix
44% · 2× 5% · 3× 50%

What stood out

Portrait of Johnny MarrJohnny Marr split the field exactly 50–50 on 201 guesses. He's alive. That's the sharpest coin-flip of the week, and a costly one for anyone who landed on the wrong side with a 3x wager. Right behind him: Portrait of Erykah BaduErykah Badu at 49% accuracy — 51% of players called her deceased. She's alive. Then Portrait of Heath LedgerHeath Ledger at 49% accuracy, where 51% of players called him alive. He's deceased.

Portrait of Johnny MarrHow 201 players guessed Johnny Marr
Alive
50%
Dead
50%

Three celebrities within a point of the midline in the same week, all pulling in the wrong direction for the majority who missed. In a 3x-heavy field, that cluster stings.

Portrait of Itzhak PerlmanItzhak Perlman also ran wrong-direction: 73% of players called him deceased. He's alive. 27% accuracy on 309 guesses — second-worst on the board and a reminder that classical musicians from the 1960s–2020s are a reliable trap category.

Portrait of Olivia Newton-JohnOlivia Newton-John fooled 88% of players in the other direction — nearly the entire field called her alive. She's deceased. 164 perfect rounds out of 1,957 players is a reasonable haul for a week this volatile in the middle.

Portrait of Julie Newmar
actor
Julie Newmar
1960s-1970s · American

She holds multiple patents for pantyhose designs and once created her own line of lingerie, proving her creativity extended far beyond acting.

94% of players called Portrait of Julie NewmarJulie Newmar deceased. She's alive. That's 6% accuracy on 201 guesses — worst on the board by a wide margin and the week's biggest upset. In a week where half of all wagers went 3x, a wrong-direction miss at that scale did the most damage possible to scores. The 1960s–1970s actor ran on a clean sample and the error didn't budge across wager tiers. There was no clever bet that got you out of it.

Portrait of Julie NewmarHow 201 players guessed Julie Newmar
Alive
6%
Dead
94%

Honorable mentions

  • Portrait of Erykah BaduErykah Badu at 49% — the field called her deceased by a slim majority. She's alive. The closest wrong-direction miss of the week.
  • Portrait of Dolores O'RiordanDolores O'Riordan at 43% accuracy — 57% of players called the 1990s–2010s musician alive. She's deceased. A quiet trap that cost bold players.
  • Portrait of Françoise HardyFrançoise Hardy at 32% — 68% of players called her alive. She's deceased. Another 1960s musician running wrong-direction, and barely anyone noticed in time.
  • Portrait of Elvis PresleyElvis Presley at 99% — the gimme of the week, as usual. The 1% who missed should sit with that.