1,645 players, 52% of wagers at 3x, and the accuracy spread looked like a good week to be bold: players who went 3x hit 81% on those bets versus 71% on 1x. The bold-and-right rate came in at 55%. Then an actor who worked steadily from the 1960s through the 2020s quietly erased a lot of those gains.
By the Numbers
- Total guesses
- 16,450
- Average accuracy
- 76%
- Hardest celebrity
Cicely Tyson (12%)- Easiest celebrity
Coco Gauff (99%)- Biggest upset
- Cicely Tyson
- Players this week
- 1,645
- Perfect rounds
- 103
- Wager mix
- 1× 43% · 2× 5% · 3× 52%
What stood out
Aung San Suu Kyi landed at exactly 50% accuracy — the field split perfectly down the middle on 240 guesses. She's alive; half of players called her deceased. Right behind her: 
Gene Simmons at 51%, and 
Toni Morrison at 51% going the other direction (she's deceased; 49% called her alive). 
Geddy Lee and 
Ronnie Wood both sat within a few points of the coin flip. Five celebrities hovering around 50/50 in the same week is unusual — the field genuinely didn't know where to land on any of them.
How 240 players guessed Aung San Suu Kyi
Val Kilmer ran wrong-direction at 46% accuracy: 54% of players called him alive. He's deceased. 
Morgan Spurlock was worse — 68% of players called him alive. He's deceased. 32% accuracy on 250 guesses. 
Olivia Newton-John landed at 24%: 76% of players called her alive. She's deceased. Wrong-direction misses on all three, and in a 3x-heavy field, each one stung.
103 perfect rounds out of 1,645 players. Coco Gauff was the gimme at 99%. Bonus exact-year hits came in at 475.
Featured: Cicely Tyson
She refused to play stereotypical roles for decades, turning down numerous lucrative offers because she wanted to portray strong, dignified characters that would inspire young Black women.
Eighty-eight percent of players called Cicely Tyson alive. She's deceased. That's 12% accuracy on 240 guesses — worst on the board and the week's biggest upset by a clear margin. With 52% of all wagers at 3x, a miss this lopsided across a large sample did serious damage. The actor ran a long career from the 1960s through the 2020s, which may be exactly why so many players felt confident going the wrong way.
How 240 players guessed Cicely TysonHonorable mentions
Katalin Karikó at 23% accuracy — 77% of players called the scientist deceased. She's alive. A quiet wrong-direction miss on a name that doesn't run often.
Jacques Pépin at 22% — 78% of players called the 1970s–2010s culinary figure deceased. He's alive. Make of that what you will.- Morgan Spurlock at 32% — wrong-direction on a director from the 2000s–2010s, and it wasn't close.
- Olivia Newton-John at 24% — the musician fooled three-quarters of the field. She's deceased.