2,223 players, wagers split almost evenly between 1x and 3x, and players who went bold came out ahead: 3x accuracy hit 81% versus 70% on 1x. The bold-and-right rate landed at 50% — a coin flip that, averaged across the week, paid off. Then a blues musician who has been active since the 1960s took 76% of the field completely by surprise.
By the Numbers
- Total guesses
- 22,230
- Average accuracy
- 75%
- Hardest celebrity
Taj Mahal (24%)- Easiest celebrity
Michael Cera (100%)- Biggest upset
Taj Mahal - Players this week
- 2,223
- Perfect rounds
- 177
- Wager mix
- 1× 48% · 2× 5% · 3× 47%
What stood out
Tadao Ando landed at 49% accuracy — players split 49% alive, 51% dead on 218 guesses. He's alive. Right behind him:
Rem Koolhaas at 47%, with 53% of the field calling him deceased. He's alive too. Two architects, both living, both nearly coin-flipped. A rough week for anyone who knew the names but not the current status.
How 380 players guessed Rem Koolhaas
Bernard Arnault and
David Foster Wallace both went wrong-direction without making much noise. Sixty-three percent of players called Arnault deceased — he's alive, 37% accuracy. Sixty-eight percent called Foster Wallace alive — he's deceased, 32% accuracy. Neither made the top of the upset list, which tells you how hard the top end was.
Florence Griffith Joyner also ran wrong-direction: 72% of players called her alive on 339 guesses. She's deceased. 28% accuracy. Three wrong-direction misses in the middle of the board is a rough stretch.
177 perfect rounds out of 2,223 players.
Michael Cera was the absolute gimme — 100% accuracy on 315 guesses, no exceptions. Bonus exact-year hits came in at 633.
Featured: Taj Mahal

His stage name comes from a dream his girlfriend had about him, and he's fluent in multiple African languages despite being born in New York.
Seventy-six percent of players called
Taj Mahal deceased. He's alive. That's 24% accuracy on 339 guesses — worst on the board and the week's biggest upset by a clear margin. In a week where 47% of all wagers went 3x, a miss this lopsided did serious damage to players who had been running hot. The blues musician has been active since the 1960s, and the long career apparently read as past-tense to most of the field.
How 339 players guessed Taj MahalHonorable mentions
Layne Staley at 32% — 68% of players called the 1990s musician alive. He's deceased. A consistent wrong-direction miss.
Rob Reiner at 69% — 31% of players called the director alive. He's deceased. Closer than it should have been on 380 guesses.
Michael Cera at 100% — the only celebrity this week nobody got wrong. Not one guess in the other direction on 315 guesses. Genuinely rare.
