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51% Bold, and Angela Davis Walked Away With It

Week of 7/13/2026

1,897 players, 51% of wagers at 3x, and the accuracy gap between tiers was the widest in recent memory: players who went bold hit 87% on those bets versus 77% on 1x. The bold-and-right rate landed at 54%. Then an activist and academic whose career runs from the 1970s through the 2010s made 78% of the field look foolish.

By the Numbers

Total guesses
18,970
Average accuracy
82%
Hardest celebrity
Portrait of Angela DavisAngela Davis (22%)
Easiest celebrity
Portrait of Dwayne JohnsonDwayne Johnson (100%)
Biggest upset
Portrait of Angela DavisAngela Davis
Players this week
1,897
Perfect rounds
324
Wager mix
44% · 2× 5% · 3× 51%

What stood out

Portrait of Kate BushKate Bush and Portrait of Alan MooreAlan Moore both landed at 51% accuracy — the field split almost exactly down the middle on each, around 289 guesses apiece. Both are alive; roughly half of players called them deceased. Two near-perfect coin flips in the same week is unusual. Right behind them: Portrait of Vera RubinVera Rubin at 53% and Portrait of Clive BarkerClive Barker at 54%. The top of the difficulty list was unusually compressed.

Portrait of Kate BushHow 289 players guessed Kate Bush
Alive
51%
Dead
49%

Portrait of Shannen DohertyShannen Doherty went hard wrong-direction: 72% of players called her alive on 258 guesses. She's deceased. 28% accuracy. Portrait of Mikhail KhodorkovskyMikhail Khodorkovsky also flipped — 63% of players called him deceased. He's alive. 37% accuracy on 260 guesses. Business figures from the 1990s–2000s have been a reliable soft trap, and Khodorkovsky delivered on schedule.

324 perfect rounds out of 1,897 players — that's a strong conversion rate, driven by a lineup of gimmes at the easy end. Portrait of Dwayne JohnsonDwayne Johnson hit 100% accuracy on 262 guesses. Bonus exact-year hits came in at 589.

Portrait of Angela Davis
other
Angela Davis
1970s-2010s · American

She was once on the FBI's Ten Most Wanted list, but after her acquittal she went on to become a distinguished university professor and one of the most influential scholars in the field of critical prison studies.

78% of players called Portrait of Angela DavisAngela Davis deceased. She's alive. That's 22% accuracy on 260 guesses — worst on the board, and the week's biggest upset by a margin. With half the wagers at 3x, a miss this lopsided did real damage to scores that had looked solid heading into the harder half of the draw. The 1970s–2010s activist ran on a healthy sample and the error held steady across wager tiers: there was no clever bet level that got you out of it.

Portrait of Angela DavisHow 260 players guessed Angela Davis
Alive
22%
Dead
78%

Honorable mentions

  • Portrait of Josephine BakerJosephine Baker at 43% accuracy — 57% of players called the 1920s–1950s musician alive. She's deceased. A quiet wrong-direction miss on a name the field consistently misjudges.
  • Portrait of Alan MooreAlan Moore at 51% — the 1980s–2010s author is alive, and nearly half of players called him deceased. Second coin-flip of the week.
  • Portrait of Neil PeartNeil Peart at 57% — most of the field called him deceased correctly, but 43% went the other way. He's deceased. Closer than it should have been on 258 guesses.