2,718 players, 141 perfect rounds, and a wager split that tilted hard toward bold: 43% of bets went 3x against 51% at 1x, with 2x nearly invisible at 6%. Players who went bold outperformed the cautious ones — 3x accuracy hit 75% against 66% on 1x — but the bold-and-right rate landed at 46%. Slightly underwater. 
Nora Jones explains a lot of that.
By the Numbers
- Total guesses
- 27,180
- Average accuracy
- 70%
- Hardest celebrity
- Nora Jones (8%)
- Easiest celebrity
Robert Downey Jr. (99%)- Biggest upset
- Nora Jones
- Players this week
- 2,718
- Perfect rounds
- 141
- Wager mix
- 1× 51% · 2× 6% · 3× 43%
What stood out
John Grisham split the field exactly 50–50 on 441 guesses — the closest call of the week, and he's alive, meaning half the field had it right and half didn't. Right behind him, 
Jimmy Buffett and 
John Lewis both landed at 51% accuracy on their respective samples. All three were genuine coin-flips. That's unusual density at the top of the split chart.
How 441 players guessed John GrishamOn the other end, 
Tim Curry drew 77% alive calls on 364 guesses — he's deceased, which put accuracy at 23%. 
Kate Bush wasn't much better: 73% of players called the 1970s–2010s musician deceased on 406 guesses. She's alive. 27% accuracy. 
Zadie Smith landed at 26% for the same reason — three-quarters of the field called her deceased. She's alive.
Bonus exact-year hits: 741. Top score: 3,650.
Featured: Nora Jones
Her debut album won eight Grammy Awards in a single night — a record for any debut album — yet she has said she finds awards shows deeply uncomfortable and anxiety-inducing.
92% of players called Nora Jones deceased. She's alive. That's 8% accuracy on 364 guesses — worst on the board by a significant margin, and the week's biggest upset. The next-hardest miss was 
Joan Didion at 9% accuracy (91% alive calls; she's deceased), which shows how far Nora Jones cleared the floor even with a crowded wrong-direction week. With 43% of all wagers going 3x, a substantial portion of those 92% absorbed the full penalty. Make of that what you will.
How 364 players guessed Nora JonesHonorable mentions
- Joan Didion at 9% — 91% of players called the author alive on 441 guesses. She's deceased. Second-hardest miss of the week.
Olivia Newton-John at 12% — 88% called her alive. She's deceased. Musicians from the 1970s–2000s ran wrong all week.- Robert Downey Jr. at 99% — the gimme of the week. 364 guesses, almost no dissent. He's alive. The board needed something solid.