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Week of 9/21/2026

Half the Field Bets Bold, and Rem Koolhaas Still Wrecks Them

2,243 players, 212 perfect rounds, and a wager split that nearly flipped: 49% of all bets went 3x, against 45% at 1x. Players who committed at that tier earned it — 3x accuracy hit 84% against 72% on 1x — and the bold-and-right rate landed at 53%. That's a winning week by most measures. Portrait of Rem KoolhaasRem Koolhaas is the asterisk.

By the Numbers

Total guesses
22,430
Average accuracy
78%
Hardest celebrity
Portrait of Rem KoolhaasRem Koolhaas (32%)
Easiest celebrity
Portrait of Jennifer LopezJennifer Lopez (99%)
Biggest upset
Portrait of Rem KoolhaasRem Koolhaas
Players this week
2,243
Perfect rounds
212
Wager mix
1× 45% · 2× 6% · 3× 49%

What stood out

Portrait of Erykah BaduErykah Badu split the field exactly 50–50 on 239 guesses. She's alive, meaning half the field had it right and half didn't. Right behind her, Portrait of Liam PayneLiam Payne landed at 51% accuracy — deceased, barely called correctly by the slimmest majority. Those two sat at the top of the closest-splits chart and weren't particularly close to anything else in that range.

Portrait of Erykah BaduHow 239 players guessed Erykah Badu
Alive
50%
Dead
50%

A few others worth noting in the wrong-direction column: Portrait of Alan MooreAlan Moore pulled 60% deceased calls on 324 guesses — he's alive, 40% accuracy. Portrait of Florence Griffith JoynerFlorence Griffith Joyner drew 61% alive calls on 329 guesses — she's deceased, 39% accuracy. Portrait of Norm MacdonaldNorm Macdonald and Portrait of Quincy JonesQuincy Jones both landed at 40%, each pulling a majority of wrong-direction calls. That's a cluster of misses in the 39–42% range that kept the overall average from running higher despite the bold wager performance.

Bonus exact-year hits: 760. Top score: 3,725.

Portrait of Rem Koolhaas
artist
Rem Koolhaas
1980s-present · Dutch

Before becoming an architect, he was a journalist and screenwriter who wrote scripts for experimental films, and he still approaches architecture like a storyteller crafting narratives in space.

68% of players called Portrait of Rem KoolhaasRem Koolhaas deceased. He's alive. That's 32% accuracy on 300 guesses — worst on the board, and the week's biggest upset. With nearly half of all wagers going 3x, a meaningful share of that 68% absorbed the full penalty. The next-hardest miss was Portrait of Bernard ArnaultBernard Arnault at 33% accuracy (67% deceased calls; he's alive), which makes this the bottom of a rough bracket rather than an isolated incident — but Koolhaas cleared it.

Portrait of Rem KoolhaasHow 300 players guessed Rem Koolhaas
Alive
32%
Dead
68%

Honorable mentions

  • Portrait of Bernard ArnaultBernard Arnault at 33% — 67% of players called the business figure deceased on 239 guesses. He's alive. Second-hardest miss, right on Koolhaas's heels.
  • Portrait of Tori AmosTori Amos at 44% — 56% of players called the 1990s–2010s musician deceased. She's alive. Third miss worth flagging.
  • Portrait of Jennifer LopezJennifer Lopez at 99% — 329 guesses, almost no dissent. She's alive. The board needed an anchor, and she was it.